Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.033087 0.036074 0.039075 0.042312 0.045696 0.049127 0.052860
2026-01-11 0.028742 0.033214 0.037851 0.042993 0.048514 0.054244 0.060619
2026-01-18 0.025370 0.030916 0.036828 0.043545 0.050915 0.058710 0.067533
2026-01-25 0.021312 0.027457 0.034196 0.042037 0.050820 0.060273 0.071139
2026-02-01 0.018600 0.025233 0.032699 0.041569 0.051680 0.062722 0.075574
2026-02-08 0.016492 0.023509 0.031600 0.041398 0.052740 0.065285 0.080040
2026-02-15 0.015446 0.022941 0.031754 0.042588 0.055282 0.069454 0.086258
2026-02-22 0.014389 0.022260 0.031698 0.043465 0.057408 0.073112 0.091866
2026-03-01 0.013260 0.021396 0.031346 0.043929 0.059001 0.076120 0.096706
2026-03-08 0.012112 0.020422 0.030789 0.044087 0.060186 0.078621 0.100934
2026-03-15 0.011461 0.020048 0.030940 0.045072 0.062326 0.082211 0.106400
2026-03-22 0.010144 0.018684 0.029767 0.044367 0.062394 0.083342 0.108992
2026-03-29 0.009270 0.017894 0.029315 0.044564 0.063572 0.085816 0.113200
2026-04-05 0.008644 0.017413 0.029240 0.045215 0.065293 0.088928 0.118158
2026-04-12 0.008031 0.016906 0.029100 0.045761 0.066870 0.091862 0.122907
2026-04-19 0.006740 0.015278 0.027370 0.044199 0.065788 0.091578 0.123832
2026-04-26 0.005927 0.014316 0.026501 0.043712 0.066014 0.092839 0.126563
2026-05-03 0.005283 0.013567 0.025890 0.043534 0.066603 0.094522 0.129783
2026-05-10 0.005095 0.013562 0.026333 0.044759 0.068968 0.098369 0.135595
2026-05-17 0.004831 0.013406 0.026542 0.045660 0.070918 0.101707 0.140798
2026-05-24 0.004474 0.013056 0.026449 0.046137 0.072313 0.104359 0.145174
2026-05-31 0.004066 0.012576 0.026139 0.046299 0.073291 0.106490 0.148917
2026-06-07 0.003891 0.012514 0.026449 0.047313 0.075370 0.109981 0.154308